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  • Yesterday

      Show headlines and story abstract
    • 23 hours ago by Dow Jones
      Companies Mentioned: CRZBY, DB

      1004 GMT - Germany's political uncertainty could weigh on the country's banks if there is a negative impact on economic growth, JP Morgan says in a note after the collapse of the coalition government. Additional rate actions from the ECB beyond what is currently priced in could be needed, analysts write. Rates being lowered below 2% could hurt lenders that are sensitive to net interest income as investors will grow concerned on margin pressure, they note. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank should be able to manage downside risk to investments by corporates and hence lending growth in this environment, as long as the asset quality picture remains stable. "Corporate confidence would also depend on the impact from any potential tariffs under the Trump administration as well as the development around support to Ukraine," they add. (elena.vardon@wsj.com)
  • Nov 7, 2024

  • Nov 6, 2024

      Show headlines and story abstract
    • 4:50AM ET on Wednesday Nov 06, 2024 by Dow Jones
      Companies Mentioned: RAIFY, BCS, DB

      By Joe Wallace

      One big, early winner in markets from the election results: banks.

      Shares of the biggest U.S. lenders, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup, all rose 5% or more in premarket trading on the prospects for lighter-touch regulation and higher interest income under a Donald Trump administration.
    • 4:46AM ET on Wednesday Nov 06, 2024 by Dow Jones
      Companies Mentioned: HSBC, BBVA, CRZBY, DB

      0946 GMT - European banks with exposure to regions that could be slapped with higher tariffs could face negative implications from a Trump victory in the U.S., Citi says in a research note as the election results roll in. "If a new Republican government introduces higher tariffs on Europe directly, then Germany, Italy and Ireland are the most exposed European countries to U.S. exports," the analysts note. Tariffs on China and Mexico are the most probable and immediate, and could hurt banks with exposure to those regions such as HSBC, Standard Chartered and BBVA. This could potentially further weigh on loan demand, they say. Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank could also face negative implications as Germany is the largest exporter to China within Europe, they add. (elena.vardon@wsj.com)
    • 3:57AM ET on Wednesday Nov 06, 2024 by Dow Jones
      Companies Mentioned: BBVA, BCS, UBS, DB

      0856 GMT - A Trump victory in the U.S. is a positive for European capital markets banks, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods say. Barclays, Deutsche Bank and UBS trade 4.8%, 5.2% and 4.1% higher, respectively. The election outcome is a negative for banks with exposure to countries threatened by trade tariffs, such as Spain's BBVA, whose largest market is Mexico. BBVA shares drop 3.6%. The Stoxx Europe 600 banks subindex rises 0.9%. "A win for the Trump campaign asks more difficult questions for European politicians around geopolitics, trade tariffs. The second order effects will be key for bank fundamentals and equity prices, in particular the rate outlook," analysts led by Andrew Stimpson wrote in a note ahead of the election. (elena.vardon@wsj.com)

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